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Recent war-time changes in upstream gas flaring across the Middle East observed by VIIRS Nightfire

Zhizhin, Mikhail
; 
Colorado School of Mines. Payne Institute for Public Policy
; 
Bazilian, Morgan
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2026-03-24
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Payne-Institute-Commentary-Gas-Flaring-Across-the-Middle-East.pdf
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https://hdl.handle.net/11124/181989
 https://doi.org/10.25676/11124/181989
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Abstract
A change detector for the most recent steps in flaring regime since 1 January 2025 was applied to 2,225 upstream flares identified by VIIRS Nightfire across the Middle East [1]. In the current output, 494 flares show a recent change event in 2026. The method compares a recent observational window with the immediately preceding baseline and quantifies steps in flare frequency, radiative heat, and temperature regime, allowing classification into off/on, high-temperature only, low-temperature only, all-activity, and mixed modes.
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